Question
2. Investment timing options Companies often need to choose between making an investment now or waiting till the company can gather more relevant information about the potential project. This opportu...
If the company accepts the project now, it would mean that the company is informed decision. If the value of the option is likely to use the option. The time before expiration for the investment timing option is one year. Considering these qualitative factors, the company the option to make a more than the value of the project, then the company is more make a quantitative assessment of the option What will be the expected NPV if General Forge and Foundry Co. delays starting the project? (Note: Use the cost of capital to discount all cash flows.) O $2,211 O $25,167 O $2,601 O $5,202 What is the value of General Forge and Foundry Co.'s option to delay the start of the project? O $2,211 O $2,601 O $9,357 O $25,167 O $5,202
Answers
Solution:- Initial Investment=$41000 (Outflow)
Project Tenure=3 years
Cost of Capital=14%
If demand is strong,
Year 1 Cashflow= $28500 (Inflow)
Year 2 Cashflow= $28500 (Inflow)
Year 3 Cashflow= $28500 (Inflow)
If demand is weak,
Year 1 Cashflow= $1000 (Inflow)
Year 2 Cashflow= $1000 (Inflow)
Year 3 Cashflow= $1000 (Inflow)
(1) Given:-There is a 50% chance of strong market demand and 50% chance of weak market demand
Therefore, Expected NPV is calculated as,
............................(STRONG DEMAND)
.....................................(WEAK DEMAND)
..........................................(Answer)
(2) If demand is strong, and project is delayed by 1 year,
Then Expected NPV is given by,
Hence the answer is this only as the closes option given is $5202.
CF1 CF2 CF3CF1 CF2 CF3CF1 CF2 CF3 +0.5 x CFO+28500 28500 28500 УРУ-0.5х | (-41000) + (1 +0.14) (10.14)10.14)[cー41000) + (1+0004) + (110004) (110004) +0.5 x (1 +0.14) (10.14)10.14)УРУー0.5 x |(-41000) + 24 + 19236.740 25000+ 21929.8+0.5 x |(-41000) + 877.192 + 769.467 + 674.973NPV-(0.5 x 25166.564) + (0.5x (-38678368))NPy-12583.282-19339.184NPV $6756CF1 CF2 CF328500 28500 41000)+1+0.14) (10.14) (1 0.14)We were unable to transcribe this imageWe were unable to transcribe this image