Question
The following model was estimated for COVID-19 in British Columbia before lockdown was in place: lnY=2.66+.20*t...
- The following model was estimated for COVID-19 in British Columbia before lockdown was in place:
lnY=2.66+.20*t
Where Y is total Covid-19 cases and t is time in days since the first occurrence. In how many days will cases double if this pattern persists? (Provide a number)
Answers
In y = 2.66 +0.2t ►y= 22.66+0.2+ At initial timet y = 2.66+0.2 Let after I year the population is double So, 2y = 62.66+0.2(t+1) () operating (i)/(ii)we get 24 2.66+0.2{t+1) y e2.66+0.24 2= 2.66+0.24+0.2r-2.66-0.2 = 2 = 0.21 → In 2 = Ine0.21 In 2 = 0.2. → r= 5 In 2 = 3.4657
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